Will Barack Obama say “Hope”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Barack Obama said “Hope” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 20, 2024 (100%), most recently on Jun 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 52% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
52%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Barack Obama
Hope
- Probability
- 52% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Barack Obama yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Barack Obama say “Hope”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Barack Obama said “Hope” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 20, 2024 (100%), most recently on Jun 19, 2026.
- What is the probability Barack Obama says “Hope” next time?
- 52%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Barack Obama: ‘Hope’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/barack-obama/words/hope (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=barack-obama&word=hope · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=barack-obama&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP