Barack Obama: Interview, Jun 19, 2026
Kalshi What will Obama say during his MS NOW interview?
Markets
13 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle | Yes | 52%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Chicago | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Hope | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Southside | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump | Yes | 26%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare / Obamacare | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Biden | No | 40%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom / Pool | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Election / Midterm | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| World Cup | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 26%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Basketball | No | 26%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXOBAMAMENTION-26JUN19 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP