Barack Obama: Interview, Jun 17, 2026

Wed, Jun 17InterviewHistory onlyBarack Obama

Updated

Markets

13 words · 1 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Afford / Affordable / Affordability Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
250 No–new new word, no probability yet–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No–new new word, no probability yet–
Basketball No–new new word, no probability yet–
Biden No–new new word, no probability yet–
Billion No–new new word, no probability yet–
Constitution No–new new word, no probability yet–
Harvard No–new new word, no probability yet–
Iran No–new new word, no probability yet–
Southside No–new new word, no probability yet–
Trump No–new new word, no probability yet–
UFC No–new new word, no probability yet–
World Cup No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXOBAMAMENTION-26JUN17 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP