Barack Obama: Remarks, Jun 18, 2026
Kalshi What will Obama say during his Presidential Center Dedication Ceremony?
Markets
13 words · 8 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Chicago | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Lawyer | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Malia / Sasha | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| South Side | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| 250 | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Biden | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Constitution | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Garden | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Basketball | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Harvard | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXOBAMAMENTION-26JUN18 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP