Adam Schiff
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 51 word markets on Adam Schiff’s appearances since 2026, on 29 different words.
History Wall
1–31 of 31, most settled first| Word | Feb 11episode | Feb 27episode | Mar 5interview | Jun 3episode | Jun 15latest | Last 5 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Settled no: Republican, Feb 11 episode | Settled no: Republican, Feb 27 episode | Settled yes: Republican, Mar 5 interview | Settled yes: Republican, Jun 3 episode | Settled no: Republican, Jun 15 episode | 2/540% | 2/540% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Epsteinnever said | Not listed: Epstein, Feb 11 episode | Settled no: Epstein, Feb 27 episode | Settled no: Epstein, Mar 5 interview | Settled no: Epstein, Jun 3 episode | Settled no: Epstein, Jun 15 episode | 0/40% | 0/40% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| ICE / Border | Settled no: ICE / Border, Feb 11 episode | Settled yes: ICE / Border, Feb 27 episode | Settled no: ICE / Border, Mar 5 interview | Not listed: ICE / Border, Jun 3 episode | Not listed: ICE / Border, Jun 15 episode | 1/333% | 1/333% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Election | Not listed: Election, Feb 11 episode | Settled no: Election, Feb 27 episode | Not listed: Election, Mar 5 interview | Settled yes: Election, Jun 3 episode | Settled no: Election, Jun 15 episode | 1/333% | 1/333% | – |
| Trump | Settled no: Trump, Feb 11 episode | Settled yes: Trump, Feb 27 episode | Settled no: Trump, Mar 5 interview | Not listed: Trump, Jun 3 episode | Not listed: Trump, Jun 15 episode | 1/333% | 1/333% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Feb 11 episode | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Feb 27 episode | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Mar 5 interview | Settled yes: Corrupt / Corruption, Jun 3 episode | Settled yes: Corrupt / Corruption, Jun 15 episode | 2/2100% | 2/2100% | – |
| Military | Not listed: Military, Feb 11 episode | Settled no: Military, Feb 27 episode | Settled yes: Military, Mar 5 interview | Not listed: Military, Jun 3 episode | Not listed: Military, Jun 15 episode | 1/250% | 1/250% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Trump3+ times | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Feb 11 episode | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Feb 27 episode | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Mar 5 interview | Settled yes: Trump (3+ times), Jun 3 episode | Settled no: Trump (3+ times), Jun 15 episode | 1/250% | 1/250% | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Feb 11 episode | Settled no: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Feb 27 episode | Settled no: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Mar 5 interview | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jun 3 episode | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jun 15 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Settled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Feb 11 episode | Settled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Feb 27 episode | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Mar 5 interview | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jun 3 episode | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jun 15 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Feb 11 episode | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Feb 27 episode | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Mar 5 interview | Settled no: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jun 3 episode | Settled no: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Jun 15 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | – |
| ICE | Not listed: ICE, Feb 11 episode | Not listed: ICE, Feb 27 episode | Not listed: ICE, Mar 5 interview | Settled no: ICE, Jun 3 episode | Settled no: ICE, Jun 15 episode | 0/20% | 0/20% | – |
| Ceasefire | Not listed: Ceasefire, Feb 11 episode | Not listed: Ceasefire, Feb 27 episode | Not listed: Ceasefire, Mar 5 interview | Settled yes: Ceasefire, Jun 3 episode | Not listed: Ceasefire, Jun 15 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Clayton / Gabbard | Not listed: Clayton / Gabbard, Feb 11 episode | Not listed: Clayton / Gabbard, Feb 27 episode | Not listed: Clayton / Gabbard, Mar 5 interview | Not listed: Clayton / Gabbard, Jun 3 episode | Settled yes: Clayton / Gabbard, Jun 15 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Congress / Congressional | Not listed: Congress / Congressional, Feb 11 episode | Not listed: Congress / Congressional, Feb 27 episode | Settled yes: Congress / Congressional, Mar 5 interview | Not listed: Congress / Congressional, Jun 3 episode | Not listed: Congress / Congressional, Jun 15 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| FBI | Settled yes: FBI, Feb 11 episode | Not listed: FBI, Feb 27 episode | Not listed: FBI, Mar 5 interview | Not listed: FBI, Jun 3 episode | Not listed: FBI, Jun 15 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Iran | Not listed: Iran, Feb 11 episode | Not listed: Iran, Feb 27 episode | Settled yes: Iran, Mar 5 interview | Not listed: Iran, Jun 3 episode | Not listed: Iran, Jun 15 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Iran / Iranian | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Feb 11 episode | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Feb 27 episode | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Mar 5 interview | Settled yes: Iran / Iranian, Jun 3 episode | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Jun 15 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| IRS | Not listed: IRS, Feb 11 episode | Not listed: IRS, Feb 27 episode | Not listed: IRS, Mar 5 interview | Settled yes: IRS, Jun 3 episode | Not listed: IRS, Jun 15 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Pulte | Not listed: Pulte, Feb 11 episode | Not listed: Pulte, Feb 27 episode | Not listed: Pulte, Mar 5 interview | Settled yes: Pulte, Jun 3 episode | Not listed: Pulte, Jun 15 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Democracy | Not listed: Democracy, Feb 11 episode | Not listed: Democracy, Feb 27 episode | Not listed: Democracy, Mar 5 interview | Not listed: Democracy, Jun 3 episode | Settled no: Democracy, Jun 15 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Midterm / Election | Settled no: Midterm / Election, Feb 11 episode | Not listed: Midterm / Election, Feb 27 episode | Not listed: Midterm / Election, Mar 5 interview | Not listed: Midterm / Election, Jun 3 episode | Not listed: Midterm / Election, Jun 15 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Healthcare | Not listed: Healthcare, Feb 11 episode | Settled no: Healthcare, Feb 27 episode | Not listed: Healthcare, Mar 5 interview | Not listed: Healthcare, Jun 3 episode | Not listed: Healthcare, Jun 15 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Hormuz | Not listed: Hormuz, Feb 11 episode | Not listed: Hormuz, Feb 27 episode | Not listed: Hormuz, Mar 5 interview | Not listed: Hormuz, Jun 3 episode | Settled no: Hormuz, Jun 15 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| ID / Identification | Settled no: ID / Identification, Feb 11 episode | Not listed: ID / Identification, Feb 27 episode | Not listed: ID / Identification, Mar 5 interview | Not listed: ID / Identification, Jun 3 episode | Not listed: ID / Identification, Jun 15 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Iran2+ times | Not listed: Iran (2+ times), Feb 11 episode | Not listed: Iran (2+ times), Feb 27 episode | Not listed: Iran (2+ times), Mar 5 interview | Not listed: Iran (2+ times), Jun 3 episode | Settled no: Iran (2+ times), Jun 15 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Noem | Not listed: Noem, Feb 11 episode | Not listed: Noem, Feb 27 episode | Settled no: Noem, Mar 5 interview | Not listed: Noem, Jun 3 episode | Not listed: Noem, Jun 15 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| State of the Union | Not listed: State of the Union, Feb 11 episode | Settled no: State of the Union, Feb 27 episode | Not listed: State of the Union, Mar 5 interview | Not listed: State of the Union, Jun 3 episode | Not listed: State of the Union, Jun 15 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Swalwell | Settled no: Swalwell, Feb 11 episode | Not listed: Swalwell, Feb 27 episode | Not listed: Swalwell, Mar 5 interview | Not listed: Swalwell, Jun 3 episode | Not listed: Swalwell, Jun 15 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Terrorist / Terrorism | Not listed: Terrorist / Terrorism, Feb 11 episode | Not listed: Terrorist / Terrorism, Feb 27 episode | Settled no: Terrorist / Terrorism, Mar 5 interview | Not listed: Terrorist / Terrorism, Jun 3 episode | Not listed: Terrorist / Terrorism, Jun 15 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| UFC | Not listed: UFC, Feb 11 episode | Not listed: UFC, Feb 27 episode | Not listed: UFC, Mar 5 interview | Not listed: UFC, Jun 3 episode | Settled no: UFC, Jun 15 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 5Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Adam Schiff say during MS NOW: The Weeknight? | no transcript | 13 | 2 yes · 11 no | – |
| Jun 3, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Adam Schiff say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? | no transcript | 12 | 8 yes · 4 no | – |
| Mar 5, 2026 | InterviewWhat will Adam Schiff say during his MS NOW interview? | no transcript | 10 | 4 yes · 6 no | – |
| Feb 27, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Adam Schiff say during his MS NOW interview? | no transcript | 10 | 2 yes · 8 no | – |
| Feb 11, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Adam Schiff say during his MSNBC interview? | no transcript | 8 | 1 yes · 7 no | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Adam Schiff: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/adam-schiff (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/adam-schiff · words: /api/v1/history?entity=adam-schiff · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP