Will Adam Schiff say “Republican”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Adam Schiff said “Republican” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 11, 2026 (40%), most recently on Jun 3, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 52% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
52%from settlement history only · n=5counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Adam Schiff
Republican
- Probability
- 52% · n=5
- Settled
- 2/5 (40%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Adam Schiff yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 2026 | Republican |  Kalshi | No |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Republican | Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Republican | Kalshi | Yes |
| Feb 27, 2026 | Republican | Kalshi | No |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Republican | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Adam Schiff say “Republican”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Adam Schiff said “Republican” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 11, 2026 (40%), most recently on Jun 3, 2026.
- What is the probability Adam Schiff says “Republican” next time?
- 52%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Adam Schiff: ‘Republican’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/adam-schiff/words/republican (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=adam-schiff&word=republican · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=adam-schiff&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP