Will Adam Schiff say “Iran”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Adam Schiff said “Iran” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 5, 2026.
–too little history for a probability (n=1)
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Adam Schiff
Iran
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Adam Schiff yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | Iran |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Adam Schiff say “Iran”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Adam Schiff said “Iran” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 5, 2026.
- What is the probability Adam Schiff says “Iran” next time?
- 52%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Adam Schiff: ‘Iran’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/adam-schiff/words/iran (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=adam-schiff&word=iran · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=adam-schiff&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP