Adam Schiff: Interview, Mar 5, 2026

Thu, Mar 5InterviewHistory onlyAdam Schiff

Updated

Markets

10 words · 4 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Congress / Congressional Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Iran Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Military Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Republican Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Afford / Affordable / Affordability No–new new word, no probability yet–
Epstein No–new new word, no probability yet–
ICE / Border No–new new word, no probability yet–
Noem No–new new word, no probability yet–
Terrorist / Terrorism No–new new word, no probability yet–
Trump No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXPOLITICSMENTION-26MAR05 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP