Will “Trump” be said 5+ times on Lemonade Stand next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Trump” was said 5+ times on Lemonade Stand in 7 of 8 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 20, 2026 (88%), most recently on Aug 12, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 77% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 2, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (5+, anyone) in 5.
- Last 10
- 7/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 6 times
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Lemonade Stand
Trump 5+ times
- Probability
- 77% · n=8
- Settled
- 7/8 (88%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
But let's start off. Let's move over to Trump and Russia because my gas is getting pretty expensive, Aiden. And it's mostly because of this…
…If you pull up, and especially we're going to be talking- I'm nicer than Trump is. You see Trump talking about Ken Paxton? It's crazy.
…House's crackdown on the free press. If you pull this up, Donald Trump in the past few days banned CNN, MSNOW, and Politico from the…
…down on the polls and down on the betting markets. And so they're trying to turn it around. Donald Trump came up with an idea
Even in this time where Trump has kind of stacked the Supreme Court and we have a heavily Republican-leaning Supreme Court, there has been decisions…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 8 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Trump 5+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Trump 5+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Trump 5+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Trump 5+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Trump 5+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Jul 1, 2026 | Trump 5+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Trump 5+ times | Polymarket | No |
| May 20, 2026 | Trump 5+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Trump 5+ times” said on Lemonade Stand?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Trump” was said 5+ times on Lemonade Stand in 7 of 8 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 20, 2026 (88%), most recently on Aug 12, 2026.
- What is the probability “Trump 5+ times” is said on Lemonade Stand next time?
- 77%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “Lemonade Stand: ‘Trump 5+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/lemonade-stand/words/trump-5plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=lemonade-stand&word=trump%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=lemonade-stand&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP