Will “Magic” be said on Lemonade Stand next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Magic” was not said on Lemonade Stand in any of the 3 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 33% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 2, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 2.

33%from settlement history only · n=3counts: anyone
Last 10
0/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no
Streak
not said the last 3 times
Counts
anyone
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Lemonade Stand

Magic

Probability
33% · n=3
Settled
0/3 (0%)
Last 8 episodes
said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: anyone

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), September 30, 2026 · Sep 30, 2026 · 1:22:33In transcript

…And obviously they're massive in Japan, they're massive all over the world, magic and all this. Do we think that card games won't become successful…

Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), September 2, 2026 · Sep 2, 2026 · 53:47In transcript

…actually know too much about him he's only just come into this position but she has some magic sauce so that that's the big question

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 21) · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 14) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 7) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 30) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 23) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 16) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 9) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 2) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (August 26) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (August 12) · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jun 10, 2026MagicPolymarketNo
May 27, 2026MagicPolymarketNo
May 20, 2026MagicPolymarketNo

Questions

How often is “Magic” said on Lemonade Stand?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Magic” was not said on Lemonade Stand in any of the 3 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 20, 2026.
What is the probability “Magic” is said on Lemonade Stand next time?
33%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “Lemonade Stand: ‘Magic’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/lemonade-stand/words/magic (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=lemonade-stand&word=magic · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=lemonade-stand&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP