As of Oct 24, 2026, “Korea” was said on Lemonade Stand in 2 of 2 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 6, 2026 (100%), most recently on May 13, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 71% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 2, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 3.
71%from settlement history only · n=2Next: Episode, Oct 28, 2026 · counts: anyone
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), October 14, 2026 · Oct 14, 2026 · 8:53In transcript
…months ago, because refinery capacity in Russia is so limited right now, Russia has been importing diesel from South Korea over the last couple months.
Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), September 30, 2026 · Sep 30, 2026 · 1:03:42In transcript
we who knows what this thing's gonna happen but this is pre-korea pre-china pre-esports pre all sorts of stuff right and um but brandon and…
Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), September 9, 2026 · Sep 9, 2026 · 1:27:05In transcript
…line with the strongest east asian countries like singapore and japan and korea and china so our best people are as smart as their dumbest…
What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 21) · not listed
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Korea” was said on Lemonade Stand in 2 of 2 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 6, 2026 (100%), most recently on May 13, 2026.
What is the probability “Korea” is said on Lemonade Stand next time?
71%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Citeparrot.markets, “Lemonade Stand: ‘Korea’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/lemonade-stand/words/korea (CC BY 4.0)
Polymarket