Will “Government” be said on Lemonade Stand next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Government” was said on Lemonade Stand in the only episode with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 10, 2026.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 2, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 7.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
anyone
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Lemonade Stand

Government

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last 8 episodes
said in 7 of 8

Next listing counts: anyone

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), October 21, 2026 · Oct 21, 2026 · 16:01In transcript

…how you get to this part without some like downward pressure from government but I feel like the enforcement has to be on the platforms.…

Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), October 14, 2026 · Oct 14, 2026 · 16:08In transcript

…finally, it seems like they're kind of like topping out a little bit, possibly in that there are a bunch of inflows into government debt.

Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), October 7, 2026 · Oct 7, 2026 · 13:22In transcript

…is one such ad. Go ahead. With you at my side, we will demolish the deep state. We will expel the warmongers from our government.

Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), September 23, 2026 · Sep 23, 2026 · 3:27In transcript

…ridiculous $8 million subscription and all time record directly from the United States government under crooked Joe Biden in order to keep them quote alive.

Speaker not labelledLemonade Stand (Vox Media), September 16, 2026 · Sep 16, 2026 · 5:46In transcript

…In business, that's what it has to be. I mean, you cannot have somebody, you know, just a government paying because they want to pay.

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 21) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 14) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 7) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 30) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 23) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 16) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 9) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 2) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (August 26) · not listed

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What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (August 12) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jun 10, 2026GovernmentPolymarketYes

Questions

How often is “Government” said on Lemonade Stand?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Government” was said on Lemonade Stand in the only episode with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 10, 2026.
What is the probability “Government” is said on Lemonade Stand next time?
65%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “Lemonade Stand: ‘Government’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/lemonade-stand/words/government (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=lemonade-stand&word=government · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=lemonade-stand&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP