Will “Oil / Gas” be said on Lemonade Stand next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Oil / Gas” was said on Lemonade Stand in 3 of 3 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 27, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jun 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 75% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 2, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 6.
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Lemonade Stand
Oil / Gas
- Probability
- 75% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 6 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…let's start off. Let's move over to Trump and Russia because my gas is getting pretty expensive, Aiden. And it's mostly because of this one…
…prime minister of Germany at the time ended up after his positioning, leaving Germany and going to work at an oil company, Gazprom, in Russia.
…to making the thing but you got to have a lot of gas in the tank you know as a team to be like all…
…to this prior without burning the bridge. If you go into a gas station and you point a gun at the cashier and say, give…
…it into your mind at all? Or are you full speed ahead, gas, got a guy forever? You know, as long as I'm healthy, I…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
PolymarketQuestions
- How often is “Oil / Gas” said on Lemonade Stand?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Oil / Gas” was said on Lemonade Stand in 3 of 3 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 27, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jun 10, 2026.
- What is the probability “Oil / Gas” is said on Lemonade Stand next time?
- 75%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “Lemonade Stand: ‘Oil / Gas’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/lemonade-stand/words/gas-or-oil (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=lemonade-stand&word=gas%20%2F%20oil · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=lemonade-stand&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP