Will “China” be said 3+ times on Lemonade Stand next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “China” was said 3+ times on Lemonade Stand in 2 of 2 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 20, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jun 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 71% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 2, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (3+, anyone) in 5.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Lemonade Stand
China 3+ times
- Probability
- 71% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…So you have to hold the platforms accountable in my opinion in order to effectively handle this. It's kind of what China does with their
…other side they ship transfer to a larger tanker that's insured and goes on to china or wherever and like this policy along with the
…of Kings. And now for people who don't know, especially if you, I mean, if you don't live in China, honor of Kings is gigantic.
…has to be like the ability to be whatever, testing. We're not China. We can't make things. Okay? Give us a few years and we…
…look at where we're at in our media consumption environment and where China is at, which is ahead of us on this, whether the numbers…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 2026 | China 3+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
| May 20, 2026 | China 3+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “China 3+ times” said on Lemonade Stand?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “China” was said 3+ times on Lemonade Stand in 2 of 2 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 20, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jun 24, 2026.
- What is the probability “China 3+ times” is said on Lemonade Stand next time?
- 71%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “Lemonade Stand: ‘China 3+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/lemonade-stand/words/china-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=lemonade-stand&word=china%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=lemonade-stand&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP