Will “Blockade” be said on Lemonade Stand next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Blockade” was said on Lemonade Stand in 1 of 3 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 13, 2026 (33%), most recently on May 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 2, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Lemonade Stand
Blockade
- Probability
- 47% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…because right now the only country that can't reliably get oil out is Iran because it can't get past the next layer of American blockades.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
PolymarketQuestions
- How often is “Blockade” said on Lemonade Stand?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Blockade” was said on Lemonade Stand in 1 of 3 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 13, 2026 (33%), most recently on May 27, 2026.
- What is the probability “Blockade” is said on Lemonade Stand next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “Lemonade Stand: ‘Blockade’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/lemonade-stand/words/blockade (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=lemonade-stand&word=blockade · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=lemonade-stand&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP