Will “Basketball” be said on Lemonade Stand next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Basketball” was said on Lemonade Stand in 1 of 3 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 20, 2026 (33%), most recently on May 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 2, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Lemonade Stand
Basketball
- Probability
- 47% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…everybody's talking about it. You know what sucks is I was playing basketball with Aiden and I got elbowed in the face and I got…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2026 | Basketball |  Polymarket | No |
| May 27, 2026 | Basketball | Polymarket | Yes |
| May 20, 2026 | Basketball | Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often is “Basketball” said on Lemonade Stand?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Basketball” was said on Lemonade Stand in 1 of 3 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 20, 2026 (33%), most recently on May 27, 2026.
- What is the probability “Basketball” is said on Lemonade Stand next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “Lemonade Stand: ‘Basketball’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/lemonade-stand/words/basketball (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=lemonade-stand&word=basketball · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=lemonade-stand&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP