Will “Anthropic / Claude” be said on Lemonade Stand next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Anthropic / Claude” was said on Lemonade Stand in 3 of 3 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 13, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jun 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 75% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 2, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 6.
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Lemonade Stand
Anthropic / Claude
- Probability
- 75% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 6 of 8
Next listing counts: anyone
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…like where do we draw the line, right? Like if our goal was to create human art and Claude can like properly cut up and
…me is Elon Musk, again, other tech leaders, including Dario Amadai of Anthropic, Sam Altman, have all made comments over the last few years as…
…we compromised in ways we didn't think so? Support for this show comes from Anthropic. Anthropic, as you may know, is the creator of Claude.
…back. My God, I feel like there's been, ever since that employee, the Anthropic employee, it is famous, I'm quitting because of AI danger thing.
Especially as OpenAI prepares for its massive IPO. Anthropic, same thing. Both have them coming up. They're a very big deal. There's a lot of…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2026 | Anthropic / Claude |  Polymarket | Yes |
| May 27, 2026 | Anthropic / Claude | Polymarket | Yes |
| May 13, 2026 | Anthropic / Claude | Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Anthropic / Claude” said on Lemonade Stand?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Anthropic / Claude” was said on Lemonade Stand in 3 of 3 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since May 13, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jun 10, 2026.
- What is the probability “Anthropic / Claude” is said on Lemonade Stand next time?
- 75%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “Lemonade Stand: ‘Anthropic / Claude’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/lemonade-stand/words/anthropic-or-claude (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=lemonade-stand&word=anthropic%20%2F%20claude · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=lemonade-stand&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP