What is the probability “Trump 3+ times” is said on All-In Podcast next time?

60%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Will “Trump” be said 3+ times on All-In Podcast next time?

Name: All-In Podcast: “Trump 3+ times” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 27, 2026, “Trump” was said 3+ times on All-In Podcast in the only episode with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 12, 2025.

Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 11, 2026 – Oct 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (3+, anyone) in 1.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak: said last time
Counts: anyone

Updated Oct 27, 2026, 15:23 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

All-In Podcast

Trump 3+ times

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 1/1 (100%)
Last 4 episodes: said in 1 of 4

Next listing counts: anyone

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Speaker not labelledAll-In Podcast, October 9, 2026 · Oct 9, 2026 · 59:29In transcript

…By the way, they tried to crack down on it. After Donald Trump was elected in 2016 for the first time, that election was widely…

Speaker not labelledAll-In Podcast, September 25, 2026 · Sep 25, 2026 · 2:28In transcript

Nerds, enough. Get back to work. You have a super intelligent Trump-telligence is now the term. We're going to call it Trump-telligence going forward, but…

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (October 16) · not listed

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (October 9) · not listed

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (October 2) · not listed

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (September 18) · not listed

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (September 11) · not listed

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (September 4) · not listed

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (August 21) · not listed

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (August 14) · not listed

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (August 7) · not listed

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (July 31) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result
Dec 12, 2025	Trump 3+ times	Polymarket	Yes

Questions

How often is “Trump 3+ times” said on All-In Podcast?: As of Oct 27, 2026, “Trump” was said 3+ times on All-In Podcast in the only episode with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 12, 2025.
What is the probability “Trump 3+ times” is said on All-In Podcast next time?: 60%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “All-In Podcast: ‘Trump 3+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/all-in-podcast/words/trump-3plus (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=all-in-podcast&word=trump%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=all-in-podcast&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP