Will “Shit” be said 5+ times on All-In Podcast next time?

As of Oct 26, 2026, “Shit” was said 5+ times on All-In Podcast in the only episode with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Apr 24, 2026.

Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 11, 2026 – Oct 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (5+, anyone) in 0.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
anyone
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

All-In Podcast

Shit 5+ times

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last 4 episodes
said in 0 of 4

Next listing counts: anyone

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Speaker not labelledAll-In Podcast, October 16, 2026 · Oct 16, 2026 · 1:31:34In transcript

…give all my money away i'll do this giving pledge the lesson here folks is don't quit your job just keep working keep building shit

Speaker not labelledAll-In Podcast, September 11, 2026 · Sep 11, 2026 · 18:55In transcript

…and worked at an NGO whose literal job was to scare the shit out of people to stop doing AI development. And this individual went…

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (October 16) · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (October 9) · not listed

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (October 2) · not listed

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (September 18) · not listed

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (September 11) · not listed

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (September 4) · not listed

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (August 21) · not listed

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (August 14) · not listed

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (August 7) · not listed

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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (July 31) · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Apr 24, 2026Shit 5+ timesPolymarketYes

Questions

How often is “Shit 5+ times” said on All-In Podcast?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Shit” was said 5+ times on All-In Podcast in the only episode with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Apr 24, 2026.
What is the probability “Shit 5+ times” is said on All-In Podcast next time?
60%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “All-In Podcast: ‘Shit 5+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/all-in-podcast/words/shit-5plus (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=all-in-podcast&word=shit%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=all-in-podcast&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP