Will “Quagmire” be said on All-In Podcast next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Quagmire” was not said on All-In Podcast in the only episode with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 6, 2025.
Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 11, 2026 – Oct 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 0.
–too little history for a probability (n=1)
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- anyone
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
All-In Podcast
Quagmire
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 4 episodes
- said in 0 of 4
Next listing counts: anyone
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | Quagmire |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often is “Quagmire” said on All-In Podcast?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Quagmire” was not said on All-In Podcast in the only episode with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 6, 2025.
- What is the probability “Quagmire” is said on All-In Podcast next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “All-In Podcast: ‘Quagmire’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/all-in-podcast/words/quagmire (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=all-in-podcast&word=quagmire · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=all-in-podcast&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP