Will “First” be said on All-In Podcast next time?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “First” was said on All-In Podcast in the only episode with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 3, 2026.
Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 11, 2026 – Oct 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 4.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
All-In Podcast
First
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 4 episodes
- said in 4 of 4
Next listing counts: anyone
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
They don't pay me. It goes into the box. And the first thing it does is it pays the data center. It pays the power…
…a year. And I'm actually hiring and opening an office here. So I'm going to hire my first two employees here in the next year.
…want and stop all AI development. And then, you know, we had first Satya came out and kind of calmed everyone down. And then Jensen…
Well, first of all, this is an account that had almost no activity, almost no followers, and no posts prior to this resignation tweet storm.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 2026 | First |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “First” said on All-In Podcast?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “First” was said on All-In Podcast in the only episode with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 3, 2026.
- What is the probability “First” is said on All-In Podcast next time?
- 60%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “All-In Podcast: ‘First’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/all-in-podcast/words/first (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=all-in-podcast&word=first · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=all-in-podcast&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP