Will “World Cup” be said on World News Tonight next time?

As of Oct 26, 2026, “World Cup” was said on World News Tonight in 3 of 6 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 8, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jul 16, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.

43%from settlement history only · n=6counts: the host
Last 10
3/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 3 times
Counts
the host
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

ABC World News Tonight

World Cup

Probability
43% · n=6
Settled
3/6 (50%)

Next listing counts: the host

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will any the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 6 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jul 16, 2026World CupKalshiYes
Jul 15, 2026World CupKalshiYes
Jul 14, 2026World CupKalshiYes
Jul 10, 2026World CupKalshiNo
Jul 9, 2026World CupKalshiNo
Jul 8, 2026World CupKalshiNo

Questions

How often is “World Cup” said on World News Tonight?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “World Cup” was said on World News Tonight in 3 of 6 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 8, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jul 16, 2026.
What is the probability “World Cup” is said on World News Tonight next time?
43%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: the host.

Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘World Cup’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/world-cup (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=world%20cup · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP