Will “Russia” be said on World News Tonight next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Russia” was said on World News Tonight in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 1, 2026.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 13, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 5.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- any host or reporter
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
ABC World News Tonight
Russia
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: any host or reporter
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…THE BALLISTIC MISSILE THREAT ALSO INTENSIFYING. WE ASKED ZELENSKYY IF HE THINKS RUSSIA ASKED THE US TO TURN OFF THE EARLY WARNING SYSTEM. DO YOU…
…SCENE IN COURT TODAY. TONIGHT, THE RETIRED AMERICAN SCHOOL TEACHER FREED BY RUSSIA, NOW HOME. HOURS LATER, RUSSIA UNLEASHING A DEADLY ATTACK ON KYIV. JAMES…
…Plus every night. Tonight, the breaking news. The American prisoner released from Russia. The retired American school teacher freed by Russia. Tonight, President Trump's special…
…times. The new Russian attacks tonight against Ukraine, and it comes after President Trump signed an executive order suspending sanctions against to Russia's Vladimir Putin.
…temperatures set to plunge. Lee Goldberg is here with the forecast. Tonight, Russia's new assault on Ukraine, and President Zelensky says they feel betrayed by…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2026 | Russia |  Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
Questions
- How often is “Russia” said on World News Tonight?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Russia” was said on World News Tonight in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 1, 2026.
- What is the probability “Russia” is said on World News Tonight next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.
Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘Russia’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/russia (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=russia · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP