Will “Election” be said on World News Tonight next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Election” was not said on World News Tonight in any of the 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 16, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 37% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Oct 12, 2026 – Oct 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, any host or reporter) in 5. 1 later episode without a transcript yet (Oct 23, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- any host or reporter
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
ABC World News Tonight
Election
- Probability
- 37% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: any host or reporter
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…in the area. He was arrested on Saturday. It comes with the election just two weeks away. Tonight in Houston, a long line for the…
Tonight, the suspicious letters sent to members of Congress and to state election offices just before the midterms. Pierre Thomas standing by on what we've…
…on something else. You'll see it. Here's Rachel Scott. Tonight, the final report on the steep prices Americans are facing before the crucial midterm elections.
…these races are with just three weeks to go until the midterm election, David. Three weeks to go. We'll see you right here on election…
…the Justice Department sending federal agents into the home of Minnesota Congresswoman Ilhan Omar, who is up for re-election, a longtime target of President Trump.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “Election” said on World News Tonight?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Election” was not said on World News Tonight in any of the 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 16, 2026.
- What is the probability “Election” is said on World News Tonight next time?
- 37%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any host or reporter.
Cite parrot.markets, “World News Tonight: ‘Election’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/world-news-tonight/words/election (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=world-news-tonight&word=election · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=world-news-tonight&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP