Will “Nuclear” be said on The Last Word next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Nuclear” was not said on The Last Word in any of the 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 39% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

39%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell

Nuclear

Probability
39% · n=2
Settled
0/2 (0%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Josh Turek say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Raphael Warnock say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Josh Turek say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Cory Booker say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Sherrod Brown say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Mark Kelly say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jun 1, 2026NuclearKalshiNo
Apr 14, 2026NuclearKalshiNo

Questions

How often is “Nuclear” said on The Last Word?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Nuclear” was not said on The Last Word in any of the 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 14, 2026.
What is the probability “Nuclear” is said on The Last Word next time?
39%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “The Last Word: ‘Nuclear’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-last-word/words/nuclear (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-last-word&word=nuclear · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-last-word&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP