Will “New York” be said on The Last Word next time?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “New York” was said on The Last Word in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 5, 2026.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell

New York

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
1/1 (100%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald Trump Texas speech clipotherThe Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell (MS NOW), October 7, 2026 · Oct 7, 2026 · 5:01In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Josh Turek say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Raphael Warnock say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Josh Turek say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Cory Booker say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Sherrod Brown say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Mark Kelly say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Feb 5, 2026New YorkKalshiYes

Questions

How often is “New York” said on The Last Word?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “New York” was said on The Last Word in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Feb 5, 2026.
What is the probability “New York” is said on The Last Word next time?
40%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “The Last Word: ‘New York’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-last-word/words/new-york (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-last-word&word=new%20york · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-last-word&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP