Will “Military” be said on The Last Word next time?

As of Oct 27, 2026, “Military” was said on The Last Word in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 13, 2026 (50%), most recently on Feb 12, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

40%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell

Military

Probability
40% · n=2
Settled
1/2 (50%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Raphael WarnockguestThe Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell (MS NOW), October 7, 2026 · Oct 7, 2026 · 24:06In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Ossoff campaign speechotherThe Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell (MS NOW), September 30, 2026 · Sep 30, 2026 · 16:51In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Josh Turek say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Raphael Warnock say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Josh Turek say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Cory Booker say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Sherrod Brown say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Mark Kelly say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Feb 27, 2026MilitaryKalshiNo
Feb 13, 2026MilitaryKalshiYes

Questions

How often is “Military” said on The Last Word?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “Military” was said on The Last Word in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 13, 2026 (50%), most recently on Feb 12, 2026.
What is the probability “Military” is said on The Last Word next time?
40%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “The Last Word: ‘Military’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-last-word/words/military (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-last-word&word=military · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-last-word&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP