Will “Working Class / Middle Class” be said on The Last Word next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Working Class / Middle Class” was not said on The Last Word in any of the 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 18, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 34% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 30, 2026 – Oct 22, 2026), 2 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.

34%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell

Working Class / Middle Class

Probability
34% · n=2
Settled
0/2 (0%)
Last 8 episodes
said in 0 of 2 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Turek campaign clipotherThe Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell (MS NOW), October 22, 2026 · Oct 22, 2026 · 41:37In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

videootherThe Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell (MS NOW), October 21, 2026 · Oct 21, 2026 · 50:55In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

videootherThe Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell (MS NOW), October 15, 2026 · Oct 15, 2026 · 26:35In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Mark KellyotherThe Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell (MS NOW), October 5, 2026 · Oct 5, 2026 · 20:37In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

AdotherThe Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell (MS NOW), September 30, 2026 · Sep 30, 2026 · 40:48In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

What will Josh Turek say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Raphael Warnock say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Josh Turek say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Cory Booker say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Sherrod Brown say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not said

Open the appearance

What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Mark Kelly say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 1, 2026Working Class / Middle ClassKalshiNo0
Aug 18, 2026Working Class / Middle ClassKalshiNo–

Questions

How often is “Working Class / Middle Class” said on The Last Word?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Working Class / Middle Class” was not said on The Last Word in any of the 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 18, 2026.
What is the probability “Working Class / Middle Class” is said on The Last Word next time?
34%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “The Last Word: ‘Working Class / Middle Class’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-last-word/words/middle-class-or-working-class (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-last-word&word=middle%20class%20%2F%20working%20class · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-last-word&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP