Will “Mike / Collins” be said on The Last Word next time?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “Mike / Collins” was not said on The Last Word in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 16, 2026.

Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 30, 2026 – Oct 22, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3 of them.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell

Mike / Collins

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
0/1 (0%)
Last 8 episodes
said in 3 of 3 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

narratorotherThe Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell (MS NOW), October 22, 2026 · Oct 22, 2026 · 27:36In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

Jon OssoffguestThe Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell (MS NOW), October 21, 2026 · Oct 21, 2026 · 31:03In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Jon OssoffguestThe Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell (MS NOW), October 15, 2026 · Oct 15, 2026 · 28:07In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Jon OssoffguestThe Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell (MS NOW), September 30, 2026 · Sep 30, 2026 · 18:17In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

What will Josh Turek say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Raphael Warnock say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

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What will Josh Turek say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Cory Booker say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Sherrod Brown say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Jon Ossoff say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Mark Kelly say during The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jul 16, 2026Mike / CollinsKalshiNo

Questions

How often is “Mike / Collins” said on The Last Word?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Mike / Collins” was not said on The Last Word in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 16, 2026.
What is the probability “Mike / Collins” is said on The Last Word next time?
38%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “The Last Word: ‘Mike / Collins’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-last-word/words/collin-or-mike (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-last-word&word=collin%20%2F%20mike · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-last-word&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP