Will “Air Force One” be said on The Last Word next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Air Force One” was not said on The Last Word in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 19, 2026.
Of the last 8 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 30, 2026 – Oct 22, 2026), 3 name the market's speakers, and it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0 of them.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
The Last Word with Lawrence O'Donnell
Air Force One
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 episodes
- said in 0 of 3 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Air Force One |  Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “Air Force One” said on The Last Word?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Air Force One” was not said on The Last Word in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 19, 2026.
- What is the probability “Air Force One” is said on The Last Word next time?
- 38%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “The Last Word: ‘Air Force One’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-last-word/words/air-force-one (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-last-word&word=air%20force%20one · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-last-word&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP