Will “Biden” be said on Face the Nation next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Biden” was said on Face the Nation in 4 of 5 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 19, 2026 (80%), most recently on Jun 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.

41%from settlement history only · n=5counts: named speaker only
Last 10
4/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Face the Nation

Biden

Probability
41% · n=5
Settled
4/5 (80%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Chris Wright say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will John Kennedy say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Chris Wright say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Richard Blumenthal say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not said

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What will Tom Homan say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Jared Isaacman say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Lindsey Graham say during Face the Nation? · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: named speaker only

1 counted; 3 by speakers the rule does not count.

Lindsey GrahamguestIn transcript

Well, for – for about two years, Margaret, in case you missed this, I went to Riyadh and Jerusalem, working on normalization with President Biden.

Mike WaltzotherIn transcript

…and falling, with more work to do. They're cheaper than under the Biden administration. We'll remember just a few months ago, when analysts were saying…

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

Every match in the transcript

What will Chris Wright say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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What will Dr. Oz say during Face the Nation? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 6 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 19, 2026BidenKalshiNo0
Jul 12, 2026BidenKalshiVoid (did not qualify)–
Jun 21, 2026BidenKalshiYes1
Feb 9, 2026BidenKalshiYes2
Jan 27, 2026BidenKalshiYes2
Jan 19, 2026BidenKalshiYes3

Questions

How often is “Biden” said on Face the Nation?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Biden” was said on Face the Nation in 4 of 5 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 19, 2026 (80%), most recently on Jun 21, 2026.
What is the probability “Biden” is said on Face the Nation next time?
41%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Face the Nation: ‘Biden’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/face-the-nation/words/biden (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=face-the-nation&word=biden · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=face-the-nation&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP