Will “Trump” be said 3+ times on All In next time?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Trump” was said 3+ times on All In in 4 of 5 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 19, 2026 (80%), most recently on Sep 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 7 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 6, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 4/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
All In with Chris Hayes
Trump (3+ times)
- Probability
- 48% · n=5
- Settled
- 4/5 (80%)
- Last 7 episodes
- said in 1 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
3 counted; 42 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Counts: named speaker only
12 counted; 38 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) |  Kalshi | No | 3 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement) |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes | 12 |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| May 21, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| May 19, 2026 | Trump (3+ times) | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often is “Trump (3+ times)” said on All In?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Trump” was said 3+ times on All In in 4 of 5 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 19, 2026 (80%), most recently on Sep 14, 2026.
- What is the probability “Trump (3+ times)” is said on All In next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “All In: ‘Trump (3+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/all-in-with-chris-hayes/words/trump-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=all-in-with-chris-hayes&word=trump%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=all-in-with-chris-hayes&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP