Will “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” be said on All In next time?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” was said on All In in 9 of 12 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 19, 2026 (75%), most recently on Oct 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 59% (n=12, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 7 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 6, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes yes yes yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
All In with Chris Hayes
Afford / Affordable / Affordability
- Probability
- 59% · n=12
- Settled
- 9/12 (75%)
- Last 7 episodes
- said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
2 counted; 4 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted; 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted; 4 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 13 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | Void (did not qualify) | – |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| May 21, 2026 | Afford / Affordability / Affordable | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| May 19, 2026 | Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Kalshi | No | – |
Questions
- How often is “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” said on All In?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” was said on All In in 9 of 12 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 19, 2026 (75%), most recently on Oct 5, 2026.
- What is the probability “Afford / Affordable / Affordability” is said on All In next time?
- 59%, from settlement history (n=12). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “All In: ‘Afford / Affordable / Affordability’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/all-in-with-chris-hayes/words/afford-or-affordability-or-affordable (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=all-in-with-chris-hayes&word=afford%20%2F%20affordability%20%2F%20affordable · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=all-in-with-chris-hayes&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP