Will Michelle Bowman say “SVB / Silicon Valley Bank”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Michelle Bowman said “SVB / Silicon Valley Bank” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 31, 2026 (75%), most recently on Oct 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 69% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Michelle Bowman
SVB / Silicon Valley Bank
- Probability
- 69% · n=4
- Settled
- 3/4 (75%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Michelle Bowman yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | SVB / Silicon Valley Bank |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Oct 1, 2026 | SVB / Silicon Valley Bank | Kalshi | No |
| Sep 18, 2026 | SVB / Silicon Valley Bank | Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 31, 2026 | SVB / Silicon Valley Bank | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Michelle Bowman say “SVB / Silicon Valley Bank”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Michelle Bowman said “SVB / Silicon Valley Bank” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 31, 2026 (75%), most recently on Oct 6, 2026.
- What is the probability Michelle Bowman says “SVB / Silicon Valley Bank” next time?
- 69%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Michelle Bowman: ‘SVB / Silicon Valley Bank’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/michelle-bowman/words/silicon-valley-bank-or-svb (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=michelle-bowman&word=silicon%20valley%20bank%20%2F%20svb · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=michelle-bowman&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP