Will Michelle Bowman say “Trump / President”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, Michelle Bowman said “Trump / President” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 18, 2026 (67%), most recently on Oct 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 67% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

67%from settlement history only · n=3counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=michelle-bowman&word=president%20%2F%20trump

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Michelle Bowman

Trump / President

Probability
67% · n=3
Settled
2/3 (67%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Michelle Bowman yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Fed Gov Bowman say during Community Banking Research keynote? · settled yes

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What will Michelle Bowman say during her remarks on modernizing financial regulation? · settled yes

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What will Michelle Bowman say during remarks on bank stress testing? · settled no

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What will Michelle Bowman say during her consumer banking speech? · not listed

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What will Michelle Bowman say during her Fox Business interview? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Oct 6, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiYes
Oct 1, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiYes
Sep 18, 2026Trump / PresidentKalshiNo

Questions

How often does Michelle Bowman say “Trump / President”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Michelle Bowman said “Trump / President” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 18, 2026 (67%), most recently on Oct 6, 2026.
What is the probability Michelle Bowman says “Trump / President” next time?
67%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Michelle Bowman: ‘Trump / President’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/michelle-bowman/words/president-or-trump (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=michelle-bowman&word=president%20%2F%20trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=michelle-bowman&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP