Will Michelle Bowman say “Mortgage”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Michelle Bowman said “Mortgage” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 20, 2026 (50%), most recently on Mar 31, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 22% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Michelle Bowman
Mortgage
- Probability
- 22% · n=4
- Settled
- 2/4 (50%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Michelle Bowman yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Michelle Bowman say “Mortgage”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Michelle Bowman said “Mortgage” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 20, 2026 (50%), most recently on Mar 31, 2026.
- What is the probability Michelle Bowman says “Mortgage” next time?
- 22%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Michelle Bowman: ‘Mortgage’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/michelle-bowman/words/mortgage (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=michelle-bowman&word=mortgage · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=michelle-bowman&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP