Will Michelle Bowman say “Leverage Ratio”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Michelle Bowman said “Leverage Ratio” at 4 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 20, 2026 (80%), most recently on Oct 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 72% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 4/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Michelle Bowman
Leverage Ratio
- Probability
- 72% · n=5
- Settled
- 4/5 (80%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Michelle Bowman yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Leverage Ratio |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Leverage Ratio | Kalshi | Yes |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Leverage Ratio | Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Leverage Ratio | Kalshi | No |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Leverage Ratio | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Michelle Bowman say “Leverage Ratio”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Michelle Bowman said “Leverage Ratio” at 4 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 20, 2026 (80%), most recently on Oct 6, 2026.
- What is the probability Michelle Bowman says “Leverage Ratio” next time?
- 72%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Michelle Bowman: ‘Leverage Ratio’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/michelle-bowman/words/leverage-ratio (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=michelle-bowman&word=leverage%20ratio · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=michelle-bowman&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP