Will Michelle Bowman say “Budget / Deficit”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Michelle Bowman did not say “Budget / Deficit” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 1, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 23% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Michelle Bowman
Budget / Deficit
- Probability
- 23% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Michelle Bowman yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Budget / Deficit |  Kalshi | No |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Budget / Deficit | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Michelle Bowman say “Budget / Deficit”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Michelle Bowman did not say “Budget / Deficit” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 1, 2026.
- What is the probability Michelle Bowman says “Budget / Deficit” next time?
- 23%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Michelle Bowman: ‘Budget / Deficit’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/michelle-bowman/words/budget-or-deficit (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=michelle-bowman&word=budget%20%2F%20deficit · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=michelle-bowman&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP