Will Michelle Bowman say “Basel III”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Michelle Bowman said “Basel III” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 31, 2026 (75%), most recently on Oct 1, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 39% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Michelle Bowman
Basel III
- Probability
- 39% · n=4
- Settled
- 3/4 (75%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Michelle Bowman yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does Michelle Bowman say “Basel III”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Michelle Bowman said “Basel III” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 31, 2026 (75%), most recently on Oct 1, 2026.
- What is the probability Michelle Bowman says “Basel III” next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Michelle Bowman: ‘Basel III’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/fed/michelle-bowman/words/basel-iii (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=michelle-bowman&word=basel%20iii · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=michelle-bowman&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP