Will “War” be said 8+ times on House of the Dragon next time?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “War” was not said 8+ times on House of the Dragon in any of the 2 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 29% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

29%from settlement history only · n=2counts: anyone
Last 10
0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
anyone
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

House of the Dragon

War 8+ times

Probability
29% · n=2
Settled
0/2 (0%)

Next listing counts: anyone

We don’t have transcripts for House of the Dragon yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will be said during the final episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said during the seventh episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3? · settled no

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What will be said during the sixth episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3? · settled no

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What will be said during the fifth episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3? · not listed

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What will be said during the fourth episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3? · not listed

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What will be said during the third episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3? · not listed

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What will be said during the second episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said during the first episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Aug 2, 2026War 8+ timesPolymarketNo
Jul 26, 2026War 8+ timesPolymarketNo

Questions

How often is “War 8+ times” said on House of the Dragon?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “War” was not said 8+ times on House of the Dragon in any of the 2 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 26, 2026.
What is the probability “War 8+ times” is said on House of the Dragon next time?
29%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “House of the Dragon: ‘War 8+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/house-of-the-dragon/words/war-8plus (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=house-of-the-dragon&word=war%20%288%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=house-of-the-dragon&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP