Will “War” be said 8+ times on House of the Dragon next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “War” was not said 8+ times on House of the Dragon in any of the 2 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 29% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceHouse of the Dragon
War 8+ times
- Probability
- 29% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
Next listing counts: anyone
We don’t have transcripts for House of the Dragon yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | War 8+ times | No | |
| Jul 26, 2026 | War 8+ times | No |
Questions
- How often is “War 8+ times” said on House of the Dragon?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “War” was not said 8+ times on House of the Dragon in any of the 2 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jul 26, 2026.
- What is the probability “War 8+ times” is said on House of the Dragon next time?
- 29%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “House of the Dragon: ‘War 8+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/house-of-the-dragon/words/war-8plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=house-of-the-dragon&word=war%20%288%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=house-of-the-dragon&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP