House of the Dragon: Episode, Aug 9, 2026
Polymarket What will be said during the final episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3?
Markets
12 words · 8 settled yes- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Queen 10+ times | Yes | 67%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Sword | Yes | 59%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Council | Yes | 54%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Power | Yes | 51%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Storm | Yes | 41%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Dragon 15+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| King 5+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bastard | Yes | 37%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Grace 10+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Treason | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Prayer | No | 30%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Marriage | No | 26%n=6 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-during-the-final-episode-of-house-of-the-dragon-season-3-20260804222705727 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP