House of the Dragon: Episode, Jul 5, 2026
Polymarket What will be said during the third episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3?
Markets
18 words · 8 settled yes- Polymarket: anyone Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raven | Yes | 38%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Brother | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Castle | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Dinner | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Promise | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Queen 20+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sorry | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Truth | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Angry | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bone | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Dragon 30+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Funeral | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Jail | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Midnight | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ocean | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Poison | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Soldier | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Weapon | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-during-the-third-episode-of-house-of-the-dragon-season-3-20260630143727482 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP