Will “Surrender” be said on House of the Dragon next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Surrender” was said on House of the Dragon in 3 of 6 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 21, 2026 (50%), most recently on Aug 2, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 3/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
House of the Dragon
Surrender
- Probability
- 49% · n=6
- Settled
- 3/6 (50%)
Next listing counts: anyone
We don’t have transcripts for House of the Dragon yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown
PolymarketQuestions
- How often is “Surrender” said on House of the Dragon?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Surrender” was said on House of the Dragon in 3 of 6 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 21, 2026 (50%), most recently on Aug 2, 2026.
- What is the probability “Surrender” is said on House of the Dragon next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “House of the Dragon: ‘Surrender’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/house-of-the-dragon/words/surrender (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=house-of-the-dragon&word=surrender · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=house-of-the-dragon&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP