Will “Prophecy” be said on House of the Dragon next time?

As of Oct 26, 2026, “Prophecy” was said on House of the Dragon in 1 of 6 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 21, 2026 (17%), most recently on Jul 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 32% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.

32%from settlement history only · n=6counts: anyone
Last 10
1/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
anyone
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

House of the Dragon

Prophecy

Probability
32% · n=6
Settled
1/6 (17%)

Next listing counts: anyone

We don’t have transcripts for House of the Dragon yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will be said during the final episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said during the seventh episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will be said during the sixth episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will be said during the fifth episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will be said during the fourth episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will be said during the third episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said during the second episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will be said during the first episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3? · settled no

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 6 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Aug 2, 2026ProphecyPolymarketNo
Jul 26, 2026ProphecyPolymarketYes
Jul 19, 2026ProphecyPolymarketNo
Jul 12, 2026ProphecyPolymarketNo
Jun 28, 2026ProphecyPolymarketNo
Jun 21, 2026ProphecyPolymarketNo

Questions

How often is “Prophecy” said on House of the Dragon?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Prophecy” was said on House of the Dragon in 1 of 6 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 21, 2026 (17%), most recently on Jul 26, 2026.
What is the probability “Prophecy” is said on House of the Dragon next time?
32%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “House of the Dragon: ‘Prophecy’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/house-of-the-dragon/words/prophecy (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=house-of-the-dragon&word=prophecy · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=house-of-the-dragon&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP