Will “Lesson” be said on House of the Dragon next time?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “Lesson” was not said on House of the Dragon in any of the 4 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 24% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

24%from settlement history only · n=4counts: anyone
Last 10
0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no
Streak
not said the last 4 times
Counts
anyone
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

House of the Dragon

Lesson

Probability
24% · n=4
Settled
0/4 (0%)

Next listing counts: anyone

We don’t have transcripts for House of the Dragon yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will be said during the final episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said during the seventh episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said during the sixth episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will be said during the fifth episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said during the fourth episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will be said during the third episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said during the second episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will be said during the first episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3? · settled no

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jul 26, 2026LessonPolymarketNo
Jul 12, 2026LessonPolymarketNo
Jun 28, 2026LessonPolymarketNo
Jun 21, 2026LessonPolymarketNo

Questions

How often is “Lesson” said on House of the Dragon?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Lesson” was not said on House of the Dragon in any of the 4 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 21, 2026.
What is the probability “Lesson” is said on House of the Dragon next time?
24%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “House of the Dragon: ‘Lesson’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/house-of-the-dragon/words/lesson (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=house-of-the-dragon&word=lesson · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=house-of-the-dragon&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP