Will “Dragon” be said 30+ times on House of the Dragon next time?

As of Oct 26, 2026, “Dragon” was not said 30+ times on House of the Dragon in the only episode with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 5, 2026.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
anyone
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

House of the Dragon

Dragon +30

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
0/1 (0%)

Next listing counts: anyone

We don’t have transcripts for House of the Dragon yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will be said during the final episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3? · not listed

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What will be said during the seventh episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3? · not listed

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What will be said during the sixth episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3? · not listed

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What will be said during the fifth episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3? · not listed

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What will be said during the fourth episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3? · not listed

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What will be said during the third episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3? · settled no

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What will be said during the second episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said during the first episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jul 5, 2026Dragon +30PolymarketNo

Questions

How often is “Dragon +30” said on House of the Dragon?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Dragon” was not said 30+ times on House of the Dragon in the only episode with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 5, 2026.
What is the probability “Dragon +30” is said on House of the Dragon next time?
34%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “House of the Dragon: ‘Dragon +30’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/house-of-the-dragon/words/dragon-plus-30-30plus (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=house-of-the-dragon&word=dragon%20%2B30%20%2830%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=house-of-the-dragon&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP