Will “Dragon” be said 20+ times on House of the Dragon next time?

As of Oct 27, 2026, “Dragon” was said 20+ times on House of the Dragon in 1 of 5 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 21, 2026 (20%), most recently on Jun 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 28% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.

28%from settlement history only · n=5counts: anyone
Last 10
1/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no
Streak
not said the last 4 times
Counts
anyone
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=house-of-the-dragon&word=dragon%20%2820%2B%20times%29

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

House of the Dragon

Dragon 20+ times

Probability
28% · n=5
Settled
1/5 (20%)

Next listing counts: anyone

We don’t have transcripts for House of the Dragon yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will be said during the final episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will be said during the seventh episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3? · settled no

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What will be said during the sixth episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3? · settled no

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What will be said during the fifth episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3? · settled no

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What will be said during the fourth episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3? · not listed

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What will be said during the third episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3? · not listed

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What will be said during the second episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3? · settled no

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What will be said during the first episode of House of the Dragon: Season 3? · settled yes

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Aug 2, 2026Dragon 20+ timesPolymarketNo
Jul 26, 2026Dragon 20+ timesPolymarketNo
Jul 19, 2026Dragon 20+ timesPolymarketNo
Jun 28, 2026Dragon 20+ timesPolymarketNo
Jun 21, 2026Dragon 20+ timesPolymarketYes

Questions

How often is “Dragon 20+ times” said on House of the Dragon?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “Dragon” was said 20+ times on House of the Dragon in 1 of 5 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 21, 2026 (20%), most recently on Jun 21, 2026.
What is the probability “Dragon 20+ times” is said on House of the Dragon next time?
28%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “House of the Dragon: ‘Dragon 20+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/house-of-the-dragon/words/dragon-20plus (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=house-of-the-dragon&word=dragon%20%2820%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=house-of-the-dragon&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP