Will “Castle” be said on House of the Dragon next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Castle” was said on House of the Dragon in the only episode with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 5, 2026.
–too little history for a probability (n=1)
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- anyone
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
House of the Dragon
Castle
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
Next listing counts: anyone
We don’t have transcripts for House of the Dragon yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 2026 | Castle |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Castle” said on House of the Dragon?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Castle” was said on House of the Dragon in the only episode with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jul 5, 2026.
- What is the probability “Castle” is said on House of the Dragon next time?
- 53%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “House of the Dragon: ‘Castle’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/house-of-the-dragon/words/castle (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=house-of-the-dragon&word=castle · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=house-of-the-dragon&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP