Will “Bastard” be said on House of the Dragon next time?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Bastard” was said on House of the Dragon in 2 of 4 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 21, 2026 (50%), most recently on Aug 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceHouse of the Dragon
Bastard
- Probability
- 48% · n=4
- Settled
- 2/4 (50%)
Next listing counts: anyone
We don’t have transcripts for House of the Dragon yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shownQuestions
- How often is “Bastard” said on House of the Dragon?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Bastard” was said on House of the Dragon in 2 of 4 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Jun 21, 2026 (50%), most recently on Aug 9, 2026.
- What is the probability “Bastard” is said on House of the Dragon next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “House of the Dragon: ‘Bastard’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/house-of-the-dragon/words/bastard (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=house-of-the-dragon&word=bastard · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=house-of-the-dragon&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP