ESPYS

Entertainment · Awards & specialsShowHistory onlyUpdated Oct 23, 2026, 23:51 UTC

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As of Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi and Polymarket have settled 64 word markets on ESPYS since 2025, on 55 different words.

History Wall

1–40 of 55, most settled first · page 1 of 2

ESPYS: every word with settled markets, most settled first

Word	Jul 16 ’25awards show	Jul 17awards show	Jul 15 ’26latest	Last 3	Settled	Probability
LeBron	NSettled no: LeBron, Jul 16 ’25 awards show	NSettled no: LeBron, Jul 17 awards show	YSettled yes: LeBron, Jul 15 ’26 awards show	1/333%	1/333%	36%n=3 from settlement history
Epstein	YSettled yes: Epstein, Jul 16 ’25 awards show	YSettled yes: Epstein, Jul 17 awards show	–Not listed: Epstein, Jul 15 ’26 awards show	2/2100%	2/2100%	38%n=2 from settlement history
Olympic / Olympics	NSettled no: Olympic / Olympics, Jul 16 ’25 awards show	–Not listed: Olympic / Olympics, Jul 17 awards show	YSettled yes: Olympic / Olympics, Jul 15 ’26 awards show	1/250%	1/250%	38%n=2 from settlement history
Trump	YSettled yes: Trump, Jul 16 ’25 awards show	–Not listed: Trump, Jul 17 awards show	NSettled no: Trump, Jul 15 ’26 awards show	1/250%	1/250%	27%n=2 from settlement history
Bieber	NSettled no: Bieber, Jul 16 ’25 awards show	NSettled no: Bieber, Jul 17 awards show	–Not listed: Bieber, Jul 15 ’26 awards show	0/20%	0/20%	22%n=2 from settlement history
Football	NSettled no: Football, Jul 16 ’25 awards show	NSettled no: Football, Jul 17 awards show	–Not listed: Football, Jul 15 ’26 awards show	0/20%	0/20%	22%n=2 from settlement history
Freak	NSettled no: Freak, Jul 16 ’25 awards show	NSettled no: Freak, Jul 17 awards show	–Not listed: Freak, Jul 15 ’26 awards show	0/20%	0/20%	22%n=2 from settlement history
Philadelphia	NSettled no: Philadelphia, Jul 16 ’25 awards show	NSettled no: Philadelphia, Jul 17 awards show	–Not listed: Philadelphia, Jul 15 ’26 awards show	0/20%	0/20%	22%n=2 from settlement history
Bill Belichick	YSettled yes: Bill Belichick, Jul 16 ’25 awards show	–Not listed: Bill Belichick, Jul 17 awards show	–Not listed: Bill Belichick, Jul 15 ’26 awards show	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Brunson	–Not listed: Brunson, Jul 16 ’25 awards show	–Not listed: Brunson, Jul 17 awards show	YSettled yes: Brunson, Jul 15 ’26 awards show	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Caitlin	YSettled yes: Caitlin, Jul 16 ’25 awards show	–Not listed: Caitlin, Jul 17 awards show	–Not listed: Caitlin, Jul 15 ’26 awards show	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Curry	–Not listed: Curry, Jul 16 ’25 awards show	–Not listed: Curry, Jul 17 awards show	YSettled yes: Curry, Jul 15 ’26 awards show	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Eagle	YSettled yes: Eagle, Jul 16 ’25 awards show	–Not listed: Eagle, Jul 17 awards show	–Not listed: Eagle, Jul 15 ’26 awards show	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Knick / Knicks	–Not listed: Knick / Knicks, Jul 16 ’25 awards show	–Not listed: Knick / Knicks, Jul 17 awards show	YSettled yes: Knick / Knicks, Jul 15 ’26 awards show	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Norm Macdonald	YSettled yes: Norm Macdonald, Jul 16 ’25 awards show	–Not listed: Norm Macdonald, Jul 17 awards show	–Not listed: Norm Macdonald, Jul 15 ’26 awards show	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
World Cup	–Not listed: World Cup, Jul 16 ’25 awards show	–Not listed: World Cup, Jul 17 awards show	YSettled yes: World Cup, Jul 15 ’26 awards show	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Army	NSettled no: Army, Jul 16 ’25 awards show	–Not listed: Army, Jul 17 awards show	–Not listed: Army, Jul 15 ’26 awards show	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Betting	NSettled no: Betting, Jul 16 ’25 awards show	–Not listed: Betting, Jul 17 awards show	–Not listed: Betting, Jul 15 ’26 awards show	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Caitlin Clark	–Not listed: Caitlin Clark, Jul 16 ’25 awards show	–Not listed: Caitlin Clark, Jul 17 awards show	NSettled no: Caitlin Clark, Jul 15 ’26 awards show	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Coach	NSettled no: Coach, Jul 16 ’25 awards show	–Not listed: Coach, Jul 17 awards show	–Not listed: Coach, Jul 15 ’26 awards show	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Controversy	NSettled no: Controversy, Jul 16 ’25 awards show	–Not listed: Controversy, Jul 17 awards show	–Not listed: Controversy, Jul 15 ’26 awards show	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Cunningham	NSettled no: Cunningham, Jul 16 ’25 awards show	–Not listed: Cunningham, Jul 17 awards show	–Not listed: Cunningham, Jul 15 ’26 awards show	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Deshaun Watson	NSettled no: Deshaun Watson, Jul 16 ’25 awards show	–Not listed: Deshaun Watson, Jul 17 awards show	–Not listed: Deshaun Watson, Jul 15 ’26 awards show	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Diddy	NSettled no: Diddy, Jul 16 ’25 awards show	–Not listed: Diddy, Jul 17 awards show	–Not listed: Diddy, Jul 15 ’26 awards show	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Drake	NSettled no: Drake, Jul 16 ’25 awards show	–Not listed: Drake, Jul 17 awards show	–Not listed: Drake, Jul 15 ’26 awards show	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
DUI	NSettled no: DUI, Jul 16 ’25 awards show	–Not listed: DUI, Jul 17 awards show	–Not listed: DUI, Jul 15 ’26 awards show	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Edmund fitzgerald	NSettled no: Edmund fitzgerald, Jul 16 ’25 awards show	–Not listed: Edmund fitzgerald, Jul 17 awards show	–Not listed: Edmund fitzgerald, Jul 15 ’26 awards show	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Elon	NSettled no: Elon, Jul 16 ’25 awards show	–Not listed: Elon, Jul 17 awards show	–Not listed: Elon, Jul 15 ’26 awards show	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
File	NSettled no: File, Jul 16 ’25 awards show	–Not listed: File, Jul 17 awards show	–Not listed: File, Jul 15 ’26 awards show	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Flagg	NSettled no: Flagg, Jul 16 ’25 awards show	–Not listed: Flagg, Jul 17 awards show	–Not listed: Flagg, Jul 15 ’26 awards show	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Gambling	NSettled no: Gambling, Jul 16 ’25 awards show	–Not listed: Gambling, Jul 17 awards show	–Not listed: Gambling, Jul 15 ’26 awards show	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Gay	–Not listed: Gay, Jul 16 ’25 awards show	NSettled no: Gay, Jul 17 awards show	–Not listed: Gay, Jul 15 ’26 awards show	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Golf / Golfer / Golfing	–Not listed: Golf / Golfer / Golfing, Jul 16 ’25 awards show	–Not listed: Golf / Golfer / Golfing, Jul 17 awards show	NSettled no: Golf / Golfer / Golfing, Jul 15 ’26 awards show	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Gordon Lightfoot	NSettled no: Gordon Lightfoot, Jul 16 ’25 awards show	–Not listed: Gordon Lightfoot, Jul 17 awards show	–Not listed: Gordon Lightfoot, Jul 15 ’26 awards show	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Harry Kane	–Not listed: Harry Kane, Jul 16 ’25 awards show	–Not listed: Harry Kane, Jul 17 awards show	NSettled no: Harry Kane, Jul 15 ’26 awards show	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
John Cena	NSettled no: John Cena, Jul 16 ’25 awards show	–Not listed: John Cena, Jul 17 awards show	–Not listed: John Cena, Jul 15 ’26 awards show	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Jordon Hudson	NSettled no: Jordon Hudson, Jul 16 ’25 awards show	–Not listed: Jordon Hudson, Jul 17 awards show	–Not listed: Jordon Hudson, Jul 15 ’26 awards show	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Zohran / Mamdani	–Not listed: Zohran / Mamdani, Jul 16 ’25 awards show	–Not listed: Zohran / Mamdani, Jul 17 awards show	NSettled no: Zohran / Mamdani, Jul 15 ’26 awards show	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Marine	NSettled no: Marine, Jul 16 ’25 awards show	–Not listed: Marine, Jul 17 awards show	–Not listed: Marine, Jul 15 ’26 awards show	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Massage / Massage Parlor	NSettled no: Massage / Massage Parlor, Jul 16 ’25 awards show	–Not listed: Massage / Massage Parlor, Jul 17 awards show	–Not listed: Massage / Massage Parlor, Jul 15 ’26 awards show	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability

• Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
• N: settled no
• not listed
• probability next time, with n
• Select a word or a cell for its quotes

What the columns mean

Last N

of the appearances shown, how many counted as said

Settled

every settled market of the word: said / listed

Probability

the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

More words (15 left)

Citeparrot.markets, “ESPYS: mention market word history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/espys (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/espys · words: /api/v1/history?entity=espys · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP